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Messages - Bob_Meteors

Pages: 1 ... 6 7 [8] 9 10 ... 12
351
Constitutional Amendments / Proposal for Non-Playoff Tournament
« on: June 08, 2020, 08:20:09 PM »
One of the main concerns brought up during informal discussion of the non-playoff tournament (NPT) is providing an incentive to win while avoiding any situation in which missing the playoffs could potentially result in a higher monetary payout than making the playoffs. This proposal avoids that issue by adding payouts based on playoff result and NPT result, but adjusting the division finish payouts to match, preventing an overall average increase in payout.

From the WBA Constitution:
7. Each team receives a season finish based payout (SF) determined by their place in the division standings and according to the following schedule.
1st Place - $9,000,000
2nd Place - $7,500,000
3rd Place - $6,000,000
4th Place - $4,500,000
5th Place - $3,000,000

This proposal eliminates this money and instead, spreads it among the teams based on tournament result. First, the 1st and 2nd place teams currently receive a total of $66,000,000 ($16,500,000 per division x 4 divisions in the WBA). This money is instead divided up among the playoff teams (with $11m to the WBA champion, $10m to the runner-up, $8.5m to the two teams who lost in the conference finals, and $7m to each of the Round 1 losers).

The NPT uses 6 teams instead of 4 per league, so it would be difficult to structure it to last the same amount of time as the playoffs. It could theoretically be done with shorter series (best of 5 rather than 7 or 9), but this would cause some series to begin in the middle of a sim. For that reason, this proposal calls for a simple round-robin format, in which each team plays all other non-playoff teams in its league for one 3-game series (home-field advantage will alternate, with the team with the higher record getting home field in two out of the three games). After this round robin, the winners of the round robin in each league will meet for a best-of-7 series. The winner of this series will earn $7m, while the runner-up will earn $6m. The second-place team in each league's round robin will earn $5.5m, third place will earn $4.5m, fourth place will earn $4m, fifth place will earn $3.5m, and sixth place will earn $3m.

To summarize, the overall amount of money given out in the playoffs and NPT is exactly the same as the amount of money given out currently based on divisional finish. The WBA Champion and Runner-Up will make more, but a division winner who fails to make the WBACS will make slightly less.

I have created graphics showing how much money each team would have made, which will be posted to Slack. Assuming the results of the NPT match up with regular season records, here are the results:

Team   Actual 2123 Payout   Proposed 2123 Payout   Difference
Black Forest   7,500,000   8,500,000   1,000,000
Buenos Aires   7,500,000   11,000,000   3,500,000
Cairo (Barcelona)   9,000,000   7,000,000   -2,000,000
Carolina   3,000,000   3,000,000   0
China   6,000,000   4,500,000   -1,500,000
Karachi   3,000,000   3,500,000   500,000
Ljubljana (London)   3,000,000   3,000,000   0
Los Angeles   7,500,000   7,000,000   -500,000
Manila   7,500,000   7,000,000   -500,000
Melbourne   4,500,000   4,000,000   -500,000
Mexico City   6,000,000   4,500,000   -1,500,000
Mumbai   9,000,000   10,000,000   1,000,000
Northwest   9,000,000   7,000,000   -2,000,000
Ottawa   4,500,000   4,000,000   -500,000
Paris   6,000,000   6,000,000   0
Puerto Rico   3,000,000   3,500,000   500,000
Rio de Janeiro   9,000,000   8,500,000   -500,000
Rome   4,500,000   5,000,000   500,000
Santo Domingo   6,000,000   7,000,000   1,000,000
Sao Paulo   4,500,000   5,500,000   1,000,000

This table was probably unreadable because the formatting on the website is terrible, so I'll post a screenshot of it in Slack too.

352
Completed Trades / Re: Rio / Melbourne (FSSL)
« on: June 06, 2020, 11:24:12 AM »
Sure. Put Iniquez as starting 1B, move Phillipe to backup if tired. Diaz as starting CF in rookie league, move Rivera to backup.

353
Completed Trades / SD/Melbourne
« on: June 04, 2020, 07:48:07 PM »
Sifiye for $3 - profit!

354
Completed Trades / Re: Ottawa/Melbourne
« on: June 04, 2020, 07:38:21 PM »
yes. put qiao in at starting RF

355
Completed Trades / Re: Rome/Melbourne
« on: June 04, 2020, 07:28:05 PM »
Sigh. Confirmed. Put Ting in R I guess.

Please make Ewald Nerius closer and promote Maynard Mierisch from AAA. Make Mierisch middle relief and move Ukiru to setup with secondary role of middle relief.

356
Completed Trades / Re: Melbourne/Paris
« on: June 04, 2020, 06:50:22 PM »
Please put Baloch as starting 3B against LHP/RHP. There should be a spot open and roster room available.

357
Completed Trades / Melbourne/Paris
« on: June 04, 2020, 06:45:09 PM »
Paris sends 3B Guda Baloch

Melbourne sends 2125 4th and 5th round picks

358
Completed Trades / Re: Melbourne / Black Forest trade
« on: June 04, 2020, 06:06:52 PM »
Huck, please promote HUNG-K'UEI HE from AAA and set him as long relief, normal usage, secondary role emergency SP.

359
Completed Trades / Re: Melbourne / Black Forest trade
« on: June 04, 2020, 05:48:52 PM »
Yup.

360
Trade Blocks and Discussions / Melbourne Deadline Block
« on: June 02, 2020, 11:06:19 AM »
With the deadline coming up, here's all the pieces I could move to a contending team. As always, feel free to message me about anyone not on this list as well.

CL Pedro Vargas - a 4.5 star closer with 12 stuff and a contract of just $550k. Had a terrible April but ERA has been under 2.00 in May, June, and so far in July. Looking for a high pick or a lefty reliever.

SP/RP Nabibukhsh Sadozai - only 4 movement, but 11 stuff (14 potential stuff!!) and 8 control. 3 pitches at 8 or higher, circle change with a potential of 11. Looking for a 2nd-3rd round pick or a lefty reliever.

CF/RF Abdelahi Hecini - 25 year old center fielder, 7 contact, great speed/stealing ratings. Stole 54 bases last year. Also a fairly good fielder in CF and a very good fielder in RF. Looking for a pick in the late 1st-early 2nd round or a shortstop with similar ratings.

2B/SS Kolomom Eberhardt - bad hitter with INSANE defensive stats. 9/10/10/10, currently rated 10 at both 2B and SS and could probably become a 10 at 3B as well. Would like a 2nd-3rd rounder - he could genuinely help a contender as a defensive sub.

3B Norberto López - solid backup 3B, 5/7/6/7/6 but plays a very solid third base. Yours for a 4th.

As always, anyone not on this list can also move (with the exception of He), feel free to ask about anyone in my organization.


361
Completed Trades / Re: Cairo - Melbourne
« on: May 31, 2020, 05:17:49 PM »
Confirmed. Please put Reyes as starting SS vs LHP and backup SS if tired vs RHP, plus backup 3B if tired against LHP and RHP, and defensive sub at 3B.

362
Completed Trades / Re: BA - Melbourne
« on: May 31, 2020, 02:28:53 PM »
Never mind, ignore this instruction :)

363
Completed Trades / Re: BA - Melbourne
« on: May 31, 2020, 11:48:33 AM »
Confirmed

364
Completed Trades / Re: BA/Melbourne
« on: May 21, 2020, 11:38:47 AM »
Yep. Please put Carey as my starting 1B (yes, first base) in AAA. Ramos can go in R or whatever I'll deal with that later

365
Completed Trades / Re: Melbourne/Carolina
« on: May 17, 2020, 09:12:12 PM »
Huck, please put Ward as my starting 1B vs lefties and backup if tired against righties.
Put Valadez as my #2 SP.
Put Lucas as starting 2B in ΑAA against lefties and righties. I've left all the spots open, I think.

366
Completed Trades / Melbourne/Carolina
« on: May 17, 2020, 09:04:41 PM »
This never happened.

367
It’s no secret that an error has been detected which caused Rome Generals catcher Cody Richards (http://www.worldbaseballassociation.com/fssl/reports/news/html/players/player_3076.html), who has an avoid Ks rating of 11, to strike out 202 times in 125 games last season. Manually editing his rating to 212 (one less than the maximum behind-the-scenes rating of 213, where he was last season) seems to have fixed the problem, as Richards struck out just 4 times in the first sim of the 1933 regular season. But could this OOTP glitch have really cost the Generals the title?

It would be easy (well, probably not easy, but easier) to say that based on Richards’ negative WAR and the WAR he is on pace to reach this season, the Generals should have won x more games. I don’t know what x is, though, because I took a different approach. Abstractions in WAR are all well and good in theory, but if Rome is claiming to have lost the 1932 title unfairly, I decided to look at the actual games in 1932 and see how Richards having his real ratings would have affected the league.

Predicting the actual outcomes of games is notoriously difficult – if some player hadn’t struck out, there’d be one fewer out, but who can say what the next batter would have done? To solve this issue, I used a projection system. Richards’ current ratings are 9/9/3/4/11. There are no other players with those exact ratings, but the closest comparisons I found were Ottawa 2B Kareem Spence (9/9/4/5/11) and Rome LF Angelo Adorno (9/9/3/5/11). As a side note, Rome 3B Elias Salazar (9/9/3/5/11) is also a good comparison, but he did not play any games in the majors in 1932. Spence hit .297 and Adorno hit .292 in the 1932 season, and while Spence’s contact rating didn’t reach 9 until July, Adorno’s reached 9 in March, before the season started. I thus made the assumption that Richards would have hit somewhere between .290 and .300 if his rating had been correct. For anyone curious, at the time of this writing, this season, Richards is hitting .286, Spence is hitting .328, Salazar is hitting .289, and Adorno has not played. I therefore believe the assumption of approximately .300 is warranted. As further proof of this, Richards had 468 at-bats in 1932 and struck out 202 times – if 30% of those Ks were instead hits, that would be an extra 60.6 hits to add to his total of 68, giving him 128.6 hits in 468 at-bats – an average of .274, a slight discrepancy that could be explained by the fact that a lowered Ks rating could also lead to a lower contact rating.

With this assumption in mind, I looked at every one of Rome’s 1932 losses and examined every one of Richards’ at-bats based on a few factors – most importantly, whether there were runners in scoring position or on first base, and how many outs there were. I made the simplifying assumption that any time Richards singled with a runner on 2nd or 3rd, that would lead to a run. So, every time Richards struck out with a RISP, I counted it as 0.3 runs, and if he struck out with runners on both 2nd and 3rd, it would count as 0.6 runs (30% chance of scoring 2 runs). Furthermore, in 1932, the Generals had 1566 hits in 5730 at-bats. After subtracting Richards’ 68 for 468, that gave a team-minus-Richards batting average of approximately .2847. However, with a runner on first, it became necessary to differentiate between singles and extra-base hits. In 1932, 28 of Richards’ 68 hits were doubles or triples, or 41.2%. Comparisons with Adorno’s and Spence’s rates indicated that this rate was probably slightly higher than would be expected from a full season – Spence’s rate was 41.5%, but his speed and baserunning ratings are much better than Richards’s, while Adorno’s rate was 32.8%, but his speed and baserunning ratings are somewhat worse than Richards’s. Thus, I made the assumption that approximately 35% of Richards’s hits would be extra bases. Therefore, with a runner on first, Richards had a 30% chance of getting a hit, which had a 35% chance of going extra bases – leading to 0.105 runs on average. That hit had a 65% chance of being a single, which would require another hit to score a run – leading to 0.0555 runs (30% chance of a hit * 65% chance of a single * 28.47% chance of the next Rome hitter to get a hit). Thus, the total expected runs from a Richards strikeout with a man on first was 0.1605 runs. For mixed situations, I could simply add the numbers - a K with a runner on first and second or first and third was worth 0.4605 runs, and with bases loaded, 0.7605 runs. Finally, every time Richards got a hit, he became a baserunner himself, with the potential to score a run. Rome's XBH% in 1932, minus Richards's stats, was 31.8%. Thus, he could score a run in one of two ways - one extra base hit, or one single followed by one hit of any kind. Therefore, for every at bat, there was an additional (30% chance of a hit * ((28.47% chance of a Rome hit * 31.8% chance of an XBH) plus (28.47% chance of a hit * (68.2% chance of a single * 28.47% chance of another hit afterwards)) = 0.0437 runs on average, which had to be accounted for, simply by adding it to all of the other expected runs (since it was present no matter the situation). However, at this point, I had to take into account the number of outs - after all, if he gets a hit with 0 outs, the Generals had 3 chances to score him. This took me a long time to fully account for, and I won't bore you all with the details (if you haven't just skipped over this part!) but suffice it to say, I made a formula to determine the actual expected runs based on the number and location of baserunners and the number of outs. I can share the Google Sheets if anyone's curious, but the final numbers ranged from 0.04 expected runs (bases empty, 2 outs) to 1 expected run with bases loaded and 0 outs (this was actually .996 expected runs, but I rounded my final numbers to the nearest hundredth to make the in-game application more practical.)

Well, with all of that math out of the way, I finally got around to actually analyzing all of Rome's losses to discover how many games this overflow error truly cost them.

Rome's April 15th game against Manila saw Richards strike out three times - once at the top of the inning (0.17 expected runs), and once with the bases loaded and one out (0.93 expected runs), for a game total of 1.10 expected runs. (The third strikeout was with nobody on base and nobody out, but the third strike was dropped and he reached first, which I counted as a single, not a K, for expected runs purposes.) Rome lost this game by just 1 run.

In a June 6th game against Buenos Aires, Richards struck out 5 times - once with 0 outs and a runner on 1st and 3rd (0.7 expected runs), once with 2 outs and nobody on base (0.04 expected runs), twice at the beginning of the inning (0.34 total expected runs), once with 0 outs and a runner on 1st (0.4 expected runs), for a game total of 1.48 expected runs - in a game Rome lost by just 1 run.

On June 11th in a game against Mexico City, Richards had 3 strikeouts - two with nobody on base and one out (0.26 total expected runs), one with one out and runners on 2nd and 3rd (0.73 expected runs), for a total of 0.99 expected runs, in a 1 run loss. This doesn't really qualify as an unfair loss (it should hav ended in a tie), so when revising the standings, I called this a tie - there's no way to know who would win in extra innings.

On July 2nd, Rome lost to Santo Domingo by one run. In that game, Richards struck out 3 times - once with a man on third and two outs (0.34 expected runs), once with a runner on first and no outs (0.4 expected runs), and once with a runner on second and two outs (0.34 expected runs), for a total of 1.08 expected runs.

In a September 13th game against Melbourne, Richards struck out 4 times in Rome's 1-run loss - once at the top of the inning (0.17 ER), once with one out and a runner on 2nd (0.43 ER), once with one out and nobody on base (0.13 ER), and once with two outs and a runner on 2nd (0.34 ER), for a total of 1.07 expected runs.

Overall, I found 4 games that Rome lost but would have been expected to win if this error hadn't occurred, plus one extra that had to be called a tie. Rome therefore has a valid argument that they should have been 4th with a record of 85.5-70.5, overtaking Santo Domingo (who would have had one more loss than they did),. In fact, if we simply assume Rome would have won the "tie" against Mexico City, this would put them in a three-way tie for second, with Barcelona and Melbourne.

Is Rome justified in declaring themselves the 1932 FSSL champions? Probably not. However, there are several factors at play here, and others may not agree with my methodology. I tried to be generous to Rome in my assumptions (such as the assumption that a single will always score a runner on second, which is not always true and likely would decrease some of the expected run totals), but it's possible I should have been even more generous (assuming a 40% XBH rate for Richards rather than a 35% rate, for example, could have affected some run totals as well). My overall takeaway from this is that Rome would not have been the clear best team in the league, but could have easily been in the conversation and probably would have had an outside shot at the title.

368
Player Change Requests / Re: Paris changes
« on: May 13, 2020, 11:14:25 AM »
How many of the really good French players are there because they were generated, and how many were guys from other countries who Clap edited?

369
Completed Trades / Re: Melbourne - Barcelona
« on: May 12, 2020, 02:27:27 PM »
Yep

370
Completed Trades / Re: Rio /Melbourne
« on: May 08, 2020, 05:26:56 PM »
Emeric will be missed. But yes, confirmed.

Huck, please put Chajon in my bullpen as a setup, normal usage, secondary role closer. Salinas as backup 2B/3B/SS (if tired) against lefties and righties. Housley on Hobart (my rookie team) as starting LF against righties and lefties, and as backup 3B (every 3rd game) and 2nd backup SS (if tired) against righties. Thanks!

371
Completed Trades / Re: BA - Melbourne
« on: May 05, 2020, 03:46:05 PM »
Yep :)

372
Completed Trades / Re: Rio / Melbourne
« on: May 03, 2020, 12:02:17 PM »
Yup

373
Trade Blocks and Discussions / Melbourne PROSPECT SWAP Block
« on: May 02, 2020, 04:40:03 PM »
I have too many SP prospects and would love to move some of these for good infield or catcher prospects.

Jorge Medina - 21 years old, 3.5 star potential, 9/6/7 with 4 pitches at 8+ potential.

Ramón Ayala - 23 years old, already started developing (1.5 overall, 3.5 potential). 6/7/4 currently, 8/7/7 potential, with 3 solid pitches including a 9 fastball. Much more of a sure thing to reach potential.

Kimi Yoshino - 23 years old, 3 star potential, 3 pitches at 8 potential. Former 2nd round pick.

Would love to package 2-3 of these guys for 1 really good infield prospect. Also open to straight-up swaps. Message me on Slack if interested!

374
Fantastic article! Congrats on the championship, well deserved.

375
Completed Trades / Karachi/Melbourne
« on: May 02, 2020, 03:37:20 PM »
Melbourne sends
5th round pick in upcoming draft

Karachi sends
CF Terushi Nishi

I'm leaving the CF spot open in my lineups, please just put Nishi there. Thanks!

376
Completed Trades / Re: Barcelona - Melbourne
« on: April 30, 2020, 07:27:46 PM »
Confirmed.

377
Trade Blocks and Discussions / Re: Melbourne Offseason Block
« on: April 30, 2020, 06:56:11 PM »
Bump - added Peralta, Carvajal, and Caetana.

378
Completed Trades / Re: Rio / Melbourne #2
« on: April 29, 2020, 03:37:52 PM »
Confirmed :)

379
Completed Trades / Re: Rio / Melbourne
« on: April 29, 2020, 03:37:16 PM »
Confirmed

380
Completed Trades / Re: Melbourne - Barcelona
« on: April 28, 2020, 08:51:09 AM »
Melbourne confirms

381
Trade Blocks and Discussions / Melbourne Offseason Block
« on: April 28, 2020, 12:29:13 AM »
SP Alfonso Vásquez - 28 year old SP with good control and insane stuff. He has 5 (yes, 5!) pitches rated 7 or higher. The only pitcher on my mediocre-to-bad team to post a winning record.

3B Ricardo Peralta - Somewhat older 3.5 star player with really good ratings. HR power and gap power are both 8. Also a good fielder - 7 rating at 3B, 10 arm - and pretty decent speed/stealing ratings.

2B/3B/SS/LF Guillermo Carvajal - Good hitter (6/7/7/7/8) who will produce a decent average and a decent HR total. True value lies in defense - 6/7/8/7 infielder and 5/8/10 outfielder, rated at 6 different positions including 3 position ratings above 6.

C Callisto Caetana - Very good fielding catcher who can hit decently. Hitting ratings aren't great but he's a catcher... Arm, ability, and position rating are all 7s.

2B Cisco López - Decent hitter with insane baserunning (7/11/11). Stole 108 bases in 2 years when he was getting consistent playing time. Better against lefties but also serviceable against righties.

2B Paul Rizoire - 7/8/5/4/9 hitter. Won't hit a ton of HRs (career high was 15 last season) but good at hitting for average. Hit .281 last year and also stole 28 bases.

SS Nabibukhsh Taqi - 24 year old shortstop. Won't hit a ton but has great speed and defense. Would be a cheap (minimum salary, team control, etc) defensive sub.

P Barry Waterson - Stats have never quite lived up to his ratings but he's only 25 and could easily have a great year with a change of scenery. I've been using him as a reliever but he should be starting.

These guys, with the exception of Vásquez and Peralta, would be fairly cheap. Ideally looking to package two or three for a quality ML player but would also be open to picks or prospects. As always, anyone else on my roster can move for the right price. Message me on Slack if interested!



382
Completed Trades / Melbourne/Rio BLOCKBUSTER
« on: April 27, 2020, 01:55:32 PM »
Melbourne sends
$175,727

Rio sends
2B Lee Henderson (R)

383
Completed Trades / Melbourne/Paris
« on: April 27, 2020, 08:45:03 AM »
Paris sends
RP Weiner Basler
C Brandon Crabb

Melbourne sends
$5,000,000

384
Completed Trades / Melbourne/Ottawa
« on: April 26, 2020, 08:39:55 PM »
OTT sends -
RP Jorge Medina
2B Fraser Reive
1B Jong-suk Tang

MEL sends -
$5,500,000

385
Completed Trades / Melbourne/Santo Domingo
« on: April 24, 2020, 10:00:34 AM »
Melbourne sends
$13.5 million
2124 4th round pick

SD sends
2124 1st round pick

386
In response to requests for current distributions of draft location among 4+ star potential players:

SP Alfredo Cavazos was drafted in the 7th round of the 2115 ABL draft and is now 4OV/4.5POT.

SP Wen-zhong Cheng was drafted in the 6th round of the 2114 IBL draft and is now 4OV/4POT.

SP Anupradana Koushika was drafted in the 14th round of the 2118 IBL draft and is now 2.5OV/4POT.

SP Ismael Muñóz was drafted in the 6th round of the 2116 ABL draft and is now 3OV/4POT.

CL Carlos Piña was drafted in the 6th round of the 2116 ABL draft and is now 4OV/4POT.

SS Mitch Reddick was drafted in the 12th round of the 2119 IBL draft and is now 3OV/4POT.

3B Weiner Uhlirz was drafted in the 12th round of the 2116 IBL draft and is now 4OV/4POT.

Overall, of the 113 players with 4+ potential, 7 of them were drafted later than the 5th round. This is not the same percentage as the odds of getting a good player in those later rounds, but furthers the theory that these picks represent lottery tickets with a small but not insignificant chance of developing into valuable players.

387
I recently proposed allowing picks up to the 10th round to be traded. In response to the argument that these picks are useless, I have compiled a list of all 6th-10th round picks with over 10.0 career WAR. (note for pitchers I only included pitching WAR, and for batters I only included batting WAR.)

This list only goes up until the 2110 draft because after that, very few players have had long enough careers to reach 10 WAR.

Ryan Hernández - 2105 Round 9 - 61.98 WAR
Harsendu Dhurvusala - 2103 Round 10 - 44.39 WAR
Yu-shu Lung - 2104 Round 6 - 42.22 WAR
Blake Waller - 2107 Round 6 - 38.77 WAR
Bao-tian Qian - 2103 Round 7 - 31.38 WAR
Abdeljilill Abedi - 2104 Round 6 - 30.42 WAR
Christovão Neri - 2105 Round 7 - 27.53 WAR
Achaius Mainaky - 2106 Round 7 - 25.61 WAR
Badr bin Hassan - 2102 Round 6 - 22.33 WAR
Botol Ranho - 2102 Round 6 - 21.51 WAR
Endres Bäumer - 2101 Round 6 - 19.38 WAR
Mennad Belqola - 2104 Round 7 - 18.71 WAR
Tilmão Argolo - 2101 Round 6 - 18.56 WAR
Jack Joyce - 2110 Round 10 - 17.82 WAR
Juan Carrasco - 2104 Round 10 - 15.67 WAR
Ta-heng Chan - 2104 Round 7 - 15.53 WAR
Bob Poole - 2104 Round 6 - 15.38 WAR
Abdul-Jabbar Ubaida - 2109 Round 7 - 15.01 WAR
Daud Khorasani - 2104 Round 6 - 13.81 WAR
Jyotibhasin Rai - 2105 Round 6 - 13.58 WAR
Eustachio Clementi - 2102 Round 8 - 13.27 WAR
Éric Sanchez - 2110 Round 6 - 13.07 WAR
Brendan St. John - 2104 Round 10 - 12.57 WAR
Man Chin - 2101 Round 8 - 12.29 WAR
Xiao-yan Song - 2102 Round 6 - 11.65 WAR
Danya Yadrov - 2104 Round 7 - 11.22 WAR
Santos Pina - 2104 Round 6 - 11.10 WAR
Candrabali Malavika - 2105 Round 10 - 13.43 WAR
Aranyakumara Yamura - 2106 Round 7 - 12.33 WAR
Cong Yen - 2105 Round 7 - 10.66 WAR
Robinson Cordero - 2106 Round 9 - 10.27 WAR
Sixto Valdéz - 2101 Round 6 - 10.21 WAR
Wilson Calip - 2101 Round 6 - 10.21 WAR
Xian-yao Nan - 2104 Round 6 - 10.18 WAR
Harmage Partha - 2102 Round 8 - 10.12 WAR

As an interesting side note, here's a list of players in the 11th-20th rounds with over 10.0 career WAR. Potential future amendment??

Ronnie Drew - 2105 Round 13 - 68.21 WAR
Han-wu Han - 2103 Round 17 - 55.50 WAR
Itri Jela - 2104 Round 17 - 50.70 WAR
Thai Ho-Dac - 2103 Round 11 - 36.81 WAR
Samuel Bravo - 2103 Round 12 - 35.23 WAR
Janardan Shreerang - 2103 Round 19 - 31.52 WAR
Dan Harmon - 2107 Round 15 - 31.00 WAR
Zuleide Rainha - 2101 Round 13 - 29.35 WAR
Dhrtadhiti Indrani - 2103 Round 19 - 21.24 WAR
Doan Ba - 2106 Round 17 - 19.17 WAR
Su-shun Chin - 2107 Round 13 - 18.56 WAR
Nasih bin Kamil - 2104 Round 11 - 16.90 WAR
Carlos Granados - 2106 Round 17 - 15.63 WAR
Sami Kisito - 2106 Round 14 - 14.54 WAR
Freddi Uhlirz - 2110 Round 14 - 13.39 WAR
Tsadik Shukrani - 2102 Round 11 - 12.74 WAR
Pedro Gil - 2101 Round 14 - 11.96 WAR
Arvinder Sivasubramanian - 2106 Round 14 - 11.41 WAR
You-liang Ai - 2106 Round 12 - 10.88 WAR


From 2101 to 2110, 35 players drafted in rounds 6-10 reached 10 career WAR. There were a total of 1000 picks in those rounds during that time period (5 rounds * 10 picks per round * 2 league drafts * 10 years), suggesting that these picks have a ~3.5% chance of developing into a highly valuable player. Representing a "lottery card" with value, they should, therefore, be tradeable.

388
Completed Trades / Melbourne/Karachi
« on: April 19, 2020, 01:04:40 PM »
Melbourne sends
C Guy Willemsen
CF Eddie Esparza

Karachi sends
CL Ricky Vega
CF Seung-min Jeon
1929 10th round pick

389
Completed Trades / Melbourne/Santo Domingo
« on: April 12, 2020, 06:41:40 PM »
Melbourne sends
RP Damien Liddicoat
2124 5th Round Pick

SD sends
2B Bill Hurley

390
Completed Trades / Re: Melbourne / São Paulo Trade
« on: April 12, 2020, 05:22:05 PM »
Confirmed

391
Completed Trades / Re: Melbourne /Black Forest.
« on: January 13, 2020, 11:11:46 AM »
Confirmed

392
Completed Trades / Re: São Paulo / Melbourne Trade
« on: December 28, 2019, 09:25:09 PM »
São Paulo sends:
SP Damien Liddicoat (ML)

Melbourne sends:
SP Quan Zhao (R)
Confirmed. Bob's back.

393
Completed Trades / Manila/Melbourne
« on: December 23, 2018, 09:13:44 PM »
Melbourne sends: CL Stepan Narzikulov
Manila sends: 2nd round pick
I reeeeeeeeally hate this deal but he's not gonna re-sign with me so here we are.

394
Completed Trades / Re: Melbourne / Karachi
« on: November 11, 2018, 08:32:15 PM »
Confirmed

395
Completed Trades / Re: Manila/Melbourne
« on: November 07, 2018, 12:16:56 PM »
Confirmed. Happy I got him- we needed a catcher.

396
Completed Trades / Re: São Paulo / Melbourne Trade
« on: November 01, 2018, 06:55:55 PM »
Melbourne confirms

397
Completed Trades / Melbourne/Karachi
« on: October 10, 2018, 08:07:05 PM »
Melbourne sends
SP Simon Ilett
Karachi sends
RP Rajindar Kasavaraju

398
Completed Trades / Melbourne/Paris last second
« on: October 10, 2018, 07:58:38 PM »
Melbourne sends
RP Antoine Jean (AAA)
4th round pick (in whenever the next year I have a 4th rounder is)
Paris sends
SP Baptiste Roux
3rd round pick

399
Completed Trades / Melbourne/Buenos Aires
« on: October 08, 2018, 07:41:37 PM »
BA sends
RP Carlos Lara
Melbourne sends
SP Sharafat Junejo (A)
4th round pick

400
WBA Times / In surprise deal, Sifiye returns to Melbourne
« on: October 02, 2018, 04:00:06 PM »
MELBOURNE, Australia- Just days after inking a 3 year, $37.5 million contract extension with the Buenos Aires Dolphins, 2B Tamirat Sifiye has been traded to the Melbourne Meteors, in exchange for 2B prospect Atílio Sobreiro, the WBA Times is reporting.

Sifiye is, of course, well known to Melbourne. He was drafted by the Meteors in 2103 (back when they were the Tokyo Samurai), and was named MVP of the Intercontinental Championship Series on the way to the Meteors' 2108 world title. A few years later, in the midst of the 2110 season, which saw the Melbourne pitching staff utterly decimated by injury, Sifiye was traded to Buenos Aires for Clifford 'Fudd' Mitchell, in "one of the dumbest trades of all time".

This deal comes as the Meteors, who had a historically terrible 51-105 season just last year, are making a surprise push. Part- more accurately, nearly all- of this resurgence comes from a series of deals made during the offseason, in which the Meteors acquired SPs Michael Smith, Jermão Vilardeb, and Bartholomous Wilmetz, 1B Harsendu Dhurvasula, 3B Iwo Cipinski, and OFs Goldofrede Zote and Bhuvanacandra Dwijen from the Santo Domingo Palmchats and the Mumbai Cobras. Assuming that Sifiye will take a spot in the starting lineup and replace 2B Dominic Underhay, that means only 2 of Melbourne's 5 starting pitchers and 3 of their 8 starting bats were on the team this time last year.

Despite the Huckleberry Predictor 3000™ (http://www.worldbaseballassociation.com/forum/index.php?topic=729.0) predicting the Meteors would be a lowly 67-89 in their final preseason rankings, Melbourne is (quite shockingly) playing above .500 and in a decent position for a playoff charge! Furthermore, the Meteors are actually underperforming their Pythagorean record, which is an indicator that they may actually get better as the season progresses. Tied for fifth in the ABL with the almost equally resurgent Paris Fleur-de-Lis (who went 64-92 last season), Melbourne is just 4 games behind the London Monarchs and the second wild-card spot. Tamirat Sifiye is sure to help that push- he doesn't hit many home runs, but is hitting .317 with a .396 OBP so far. It'll be very interesting to see whether, with Sifiye and the rest of their all-new lineup, the Meteors can make the playoffs this year.

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